Emerging markets

US Elections: Financial Markets' Reaction and the Impact on the Dollar

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Nov. 6, 2020 .

Exchange rate Central banks Slowdown Uncertainty Economic policy Chinese yuan United States of America Dollar Great Lockdown Exchange rate risk Covid-19 Emerging markets Exchange rates

Financial markets are pricing a Democratic victory and a split Congress: the dollar weakens and risk appetite is back on the scene [ Read all ]

Focus on EM Currencies: the Rand Recovers Ground, but Risk Remains

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Oct. 23, 2020 .

Exchange rate Central banks Africa Dollar Great Lockdown Exchange rate risk Covid-19 Emerging markets Exchange rates

The South African currency benefits from risk sentiment, but its stability could be endangered by a deterioration in its already fragile fiscal position [ Read all ]

October 2020 IMF Scenario: the Long Road to Recovery

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Oct. 20, 2020 .

Italy Europe Uncertainty Great Recession United States of America Great Lockdown Covid-19 Emerging markets Global economic trends

The latest World Economic Outlook forecasts shed a ray of hope on 2020, compared to previous estimates; however, all major economies remain in negative territory, with China as a relevant exception [ Read all ]

Focus on EM Currencies: Fiscal Uncertainty Weighs on the Real

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Oct. 16, 2020 .

Exchange rate Central banks Uncertainty Economic policy Exchange rate risk Brazilian real Latin America Covid-19 Emerging markets Exchange rates

The Brazilian currency reflects markets' worries over the state of health of public finances, with regard to a new social welfare program [ Read all ]

Change of Course in Turkey?

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Sept. 25, 2020 .

Exchange rate Central banks Economic policy Exchange rate risk Turkish lira Covid-19 Emerging markets Exchange rates

After 2 years, monetary policy is back on the scene to confront the threat of a new currency crisis [ Read all ]

Foreign Direct Investment: Global Dynamics in 2019

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Sept. 16, 2020 .

Great Lockdown Uncertainty United States of America Foreign markets Covid-19 Emerging markets Global economic trends

UNCTAD data show a slight rebound in global FDI flows in 2019, but the Covid crisis could lead in 2020 to a greater collapse than that one recorded in the aftermath of the 2009 crisis [ Read all ]

Belarusian Unrest and its Impact on the Currency

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Aug. 28, 2020 .

Exchange rate Central banks Europe Uncertainty Covid-19 Emerging markets Exchange rates

The outcome of August 9 presidential elections has triggered historical street protests [ Read all ]

A weakening consensus to the Thai regime

Published by Luigi Bidoia. Aug. 21, 2020 .

Emerging markets Exchange rates

The prospect of a violent response to youth protests in Thailand weighs on the baht. [ Read all ]

Turkish Lira: a Cloudy Outlook

Published by Alba Di Rosa. July 31, 2020 .

Exchange rate Central banks Economic policy Trade balance Exchange rate risk Turkish lira Covid-19 Emerging markets Exchange rates

The country's monetary policy strategy is beginning to show its limits, with the threat of a new currency crisis [ Read all ]

Secondary Sanctions: a disguised restriction on Market Accessibility

Published by Valeria Minasi. July 15, 2020 .

Planning MENA Export Internationalisation Emerging markets Market Accessibility

Secondary Sanctions: a disguised restriction on Market Accessibility - The case of Iran [ Read all ]